Paper Trades / POL / POL — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

POL Polygon Paper Trade

POL — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Polygon (POL, formerly MATIC) is an Ethereum scaling ecosystem offering multiple Layer 2 solutions including zkEVM, PoS chain, and CDK. Polygon is one of the most widely adopted scaling solutions with partnerships from major brands. POL price tracks Ethereum scaling narratives and Layer 2 competition dynamics, creating distinct trading patterns from the broader market.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ POL Signals →

POL — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Polygon (POL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+45.7%
€10,000 →
€14,568
Win Rate
75.0%
9W / 3L
Trades
12
Sharpe
9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+19.08pp
Risk / Reward
9.08×
B&H Return
+26.60%
Max Drawdown
-5.03%
Avg Drawdown
-5.86%
Sharpe Trend
+4.44
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+45.68%
Win Rate
75.0%
Sharpe
9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+19.08pp
Max DD
-5.03%
Avg DD
-5.86%
Risk / Reward
9.08×
Trades
12
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+42.30%
▲ +3.38
Win Rate
66.7%
▲ +8.30
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +19.08
Max DD
-6.43%
▲ +1.40
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.86
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+62.63%
▼ -16.95
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -9.60
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +9.69
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +19.08
Max DD
-0.31%
▼ -4.72
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.86
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

POL

POL Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +37.1%
17t
 		+56.4%
14t
 		+52.2%
16t
 		+45.7%
12t
 		+60.7%
13t
 		+33.8%
10t
 		+93.0%
12t
 		+137.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +4,588.1%

All months for POL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — POL — April 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
-10.1
8
+0.6
9
+12.1
10
—
11
+2.4
12
+2.5
13
—
14
—
15
-1.6
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+4.4
22
-1.8
23
+0.6
24
+9.5
25
—
26
+2.6
27
—
28
+5.4
29
—
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +45.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.03% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 70.0% +1.87% +18.33% 15h
BULL 2 100.0% +4.03% +8.19% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -10.07% SIDEWAYS 6h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.63% SIDEWAYS 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.11% SIDEWAYS 21h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.51% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 -1.61% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.39% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
$0.00 $0.00 -1.77% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 2h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.47% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.61% BULL 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +5.44% BULL 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live POL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Polygon Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time POL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → POL Signals → View Plans →
75.0% Win Rate +45.7% Return -5.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees