Paper Trades / BTC / BTC — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

BTC Bitcoin Paper Trade

BTC — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It operates on a decentralized proof-of-work blockchain with a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Bitcoin is widely regarded as digital gold and serves as the benchmark asset for the entire crypto market. Its four-year halving cycles have historically driven major bull markets, making cycle-aware trading models particularly effective for BTC.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ BTC Signals →

BTC — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin (BTC) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+27.6%
€10,000 →
€12,764
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
13
Sharpe
13.06
Alpha vs B&H
+18.83pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+8.81%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-1.98%
Sharpe Trend
+4.64
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+27.64%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
13.06
Alpha vs B&H
+18.83pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-1.98%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
13
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+15.77%
▲ +11.87
Win Rate
87.5%
▲ +12.50
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.06
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +18.83
Max DD
-2.48%
▲ +2.48
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.98
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
9
Open v4.0 page →
OMNISCIUS V2.0
Return
+13.60%
▲ +14.04
Win Rate
0.0%
▲ +100.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +13.06
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +18.83
Max DD
0.00%
≈
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -1.98
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
0
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BTC

BTC Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +41.1%
12t
 		+21.0%
16t
 		+40.4%
14t
 		+39.4%
14t
 		+27.6%
13t
 		+20.3%
12t
 		+20.2%
14t
 		+15.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +613.2%

All months for BTC under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BTC — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+2.4
8
—
9
+6.1
10
—
11
—
12
+0.9
13
+2.8
14
—
15
—
16
+0.4
17
+0.3
18
—
19
+1.4
20
+3.0
21
+2.5
22
+4.4
23
—
24
+1.3
25
—
26
+2.6
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+1.5
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +27.6%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +2.52% on 5 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 8 100.0% +2.13% +18.29% 17h
BULL 5 100.0% +2.52% +13.17% 1.6d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +2.42% BULL 2d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.11% BULL 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.87% BULL 2d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.78% BULL 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.44% BULL 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.26% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.44% BUBBLE 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.95% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.54% BUBBLE 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.40% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.31% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.61% BUBBLE 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.52% BUBBLE 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BTC signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BTC signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → BTC Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +27.6% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees