Paper Trade Archive

Walk-forward paper-trade simulations on real historical price data. The current production model is v6.2 (Pythia), validated on the full 77-coin YTD-2026 out-of-sample window (trained only on pre-2026 data, tested 1 Jan → 20 May 2026). Older results from v5.0 Kairos, v4.2 Theros, v4.0.1 Pythia, v4.0 Itzamná and the v2.5 legacy baseline are kept for cross-version comparison. Click any card to drill into the full trade log.

v6.2 (Pythia) went live on 21 May 2026. The Bitvavo executor is paused for the v6.2 transition — see live performance for the account history. Earlier production baselines: v5.0 Kairos, v4.2 Theros, v4.0.1 Pythia, v4.0 Itzamná.

Showing 28
Avg Return +192.3%
Coins 1
Periods 27
v6.2 Pythia (77) v5.0 Kairos (0) v4.2 Theros (843) v4.0.1 Pythia (0) v4.0 Itzamná (0) v2.5 (0) All
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BTC

BTC Monthly Returns

Click any cell to drill into that month's trade log.
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
—
—
—
—
+25.3%
13t
 		+20.3%
12t
 		+20.5%
11t
 		+15.7%
13t
 		+16.0%
13t
 		+29.1%
13t
 		+25.2%
10t
 		+18.0%
13t
 		+365.2%
2026 +19.7%
17t
 		+33.7%
15t
 		+36.1%
16t
 		+35.2%
13t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
+194.3%

Color intensity = magnitude. Year Σ is compounded across the months shown for this coin/version.

All BTC months — full KPIs per month

v4.2 Theros Q4-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+104.4%
WR
92.1%
Trades
38
Max DD
-1.1%
v4.2 Theros Q4-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+127.9%
WR
90.0%
Trades
40
Max DD
-4.2%
v4.2 Theros Q3-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+71.1%
WR
94.7%
Trades
38
Max DD
-0.3%
v4.2 Theros Q3-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+158.0%
WR
93.0%
Trades
43
Max DD
-1.1%
v4.2 Theros Q2-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+112.6%
WR
97.5%
Trades
40
Max DD
-0.1%
v4.2 Theros Q2-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+112.0%
WR
97.0%
Trades
33
Max DD
-0.2%
v4.2 Theros Q1-2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+117.7%
WR
83.3%
Trades
48
Max DD
-3.3%
v4.2 Theros Q1-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+138.1%
WR
90.2%
Trades
41
Max DD
-0.6%
v4.2 Theros Q1-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+166.5%
WR
91.5%
Trades
47
Max DD
-1.8%
v4.2 Theros H2-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+275.5%
WR
96.3%
Trades
81
Max DD
-0.4%
v4.2 Theros H2-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+527.9%
WR
90.7%
Trades
86
Max DD
-4.2%
v4.2 Theros H1-2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+443.0%
WR
89.5%
Trades
86
Max DD
-0.6%
v4.2 Theros H1-2024
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+482.6%
WR
91.6%
Trades
83
Max DD
-1.8%
v4.2 Theros YTD 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+188.0%
WR
87.3%
Trades
63
Max DD
-2.3%
v6.2 Pythia YTD 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+41.6%
WR
50.8%
Trades
130
Max DD
-15.8%
v4.2 Theros April 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+35.2%
WR
100.0%
Trades
13
Max DD
0.0%
v4.2 Theros March 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+36.1%
WR
81.3%
Trades
16
Max DD
-2.3%
v4.2 Theros February 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+33.7%
WR
86.7%
Trades
15
Max DD
-2.3%
v4.2 Theros January 2026
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+19.7%
WR
82.4%
Trades
17
Max DD
-0.5%
v4.2 Theros 2025-FY
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+2,022.4%
WR
92.9%
Trades
168
Max DD
-0.6%
v4.2 Theros December 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+18.0%
WR
100.0%
Trades
13
Max DD
0.0%
v4.2 Theros November 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+25.2%
WR
90.0%
Trades
10
Max DD
-0.1%
v4.2 Theros October 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+29.1%
WR
100.0%
Trades
13
Max DD
0.0%
v4.2 Theros September 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+16.0%
WR
100.0%
Trades
13
Max DD
0.0%
v4.2 Theros August 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+15.7%
WR
92.3%
Trades
13
Max DD
-0.3%
v4.2 Theros July 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+20.5%
WR
90.9%
Trades
11
Max DD
-0.2%
v4.2 Theros June 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+20.3%
WR
91.7%
Trades
12
Max DD
-0.1%
v4.2 Theros May 2025
BTC
BTC
Bitcoin
+25.3%
WR
100.0%
Trades
13
Max DD
0.0%

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