Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+72.9%
€10,000 →
€17,288
Win Rate
79.2%
11W / 3L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.03%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+86.41%
▼ -13.53
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -14.13
Sharpe
15.26
▼ -15.26
Alpha vs B&H
+77.16pp
▼ -77.16
Max DD
-0.50%
▼ -3.53
Avg DD
-3.58%
▲ +3.58
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+72.88%
Win Rate
79.2%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.03%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+64.02%
▲ +8.86
Win Rate
94.4%
▼ -15.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.11%
▼ -3.92
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+16.9
11
—
12
+0.7
13
+0.3
14
0.0
15
—
16
+8.7
17
—
18
+7.0
19
—
20
+1.9
21
0.0
22
+0.4
23
—
24
-0.5
25
—
26
+3.6
27
—
28
+11.9
29
+0.6
30
—
31
+4.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +72.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 79.2%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +2.98% on 13 trades, WR 77%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 76.9% +2.98% +45.29% 17h
BULL 1 100.0% +16.86% +16.86% 4.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 15:00 10 Jul 2025 22:00 $5.32 $6.25 +16.86% BULL 4.3d
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 12:00 $6.29 $6.35 +0.67% BUBBLE 12h
13 Jul 2025 05:00 13 Jul 2025 15:00 $6.51 $6.55 +0.33% BUBBLE 11h
14 Jul 2025 04:00 14 Jul 2025 10:00 $6.73 $6.74 -0.03% BUBBLE 7h
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 17:00 $6.28 $6.85 +8.72% BUBBLE 1.7d
17 Jul 2025 17:00 18 Jul 2025 12:00 $6.70 $7.18 +6.96% BUBBLE 20h
20 Jul 2025 07:00 20 Jul 2025 19:00 $7.01 $7.17 +1.88% BUBBLE 13h
21 Jul 2025 08:00 21 Jul 2025 13:00 $7.41 $7.43 -0.03% BUBBLE 6h
22 Jul 2025 20:00 22 Jul 2025 22:00 $7.16 $7.20 +0.38% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 11:00 24 Jul 2025 15:00 $5.95 $5.93 -0.50% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jul 2025 04:00 26 Jul 2025 09:00 $5.87 $6.09 +3.58% BUBBLE 1.3d
26 Jul 2025 22:00 28 Jul 2025 09:00 $6.02 $6.74 +11.87% BUBBLE 1.5d
28 Jul 2025 23:00 29 Jul 2025 09:00 $6.40 $6.46 +0.61% BUBBLE 11h
30 Jul 2025 12:00 31 Jul 2025 09:00 $5.93 $6.20 +4.34% BUBBLE 22h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
79.2% Win Rate +72.9% Return -4.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees