Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+92.9%
€10,000 →
€19,293
Win Rate
85.7%
12W / 2L
Trades
14
Sharpe
14.82
Alpha vs B&H
+87.79pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+5.14%
Max Drawdown
-0.44%
Avg Drawdown
-3.60%
Sharpe Trend
-6.13
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+92.93%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
14.82
Alpha vs B&H
+87.79pp
Max DD
-0.44%
Avg DD
-3.60%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+104.82%
▼ -11.89
Win Rate
85.4%
▲ +0.31
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.82
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +87.79
Max DD
-6.02%
▲ +5.58
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+50.72%
▲ +42.21
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -7.59
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.82
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +87.79
Max DD
-0.11%
▼ -0.33
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — May 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
0.0
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+30.4
11
—
12
+7.7
13
+6.5
14
—
15
+0.3
16
—
17
+1.8
18
+4.8
19
—
20
—
21
+1.4
22
+3.9
23
+2.1
24
-0.4
25
—
26
+1.4
27
+8.9
28
—
29
+3.1
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +92.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.4%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.96% on 5 trades, WR 80%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 5 80.0% +8.96% +49.88% 1.3d
BUBBLE 9 88.9% +2.98% +29.91% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -0.02% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +30.38% BULL 4.1d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.66% BULL 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.48% BULL 15h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.30% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.75% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.75% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.35% BUBBLE 2.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.94% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.10% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.44% BUBBLE 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.43% BUBBLE 1.2d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.86% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.09% BUBBLE 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
85.7% Win Rate +92.9% Return -0.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees