Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+35.3%
€10,000 →
€13,527
Win Rate
75.0%
9W / 3L
Trades
12
Sharpe
7.02
Alpha vs B&H
+51.08pp
Risk / Reward
5.39×
B&H Return
-15.82%
Max Drawdown
-6.55%
Avg Drawdown
-4.59%
Sharpe Trend
+10.70
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+35.27%
Win Rate
75.0%
Sharpe
7.02
Alpha vs B&H
+51.08pp
Max DD
-6.55%
Avg DD
-4.59%
Risk / Reward
5.39×
Trades
12
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+24.77%
▲ +10.50
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -10.70
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.02
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +51.08
Max DD
-7.87%
▲ +1.32
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+30.79%
▲ +4.48
Win Rate
90.9%
▼ -15.90
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +7.02
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +51.08
Max DD
-3.94%
▼ -2.61
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.59
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
-0.6
3
+2.5
4
—
5
—
6
+2.6
7
—
8
+6.0
9
—
10
+14.6
11
—
12
+0.3
13
-6.6
14
—
15
—
16
+4.0
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+1.2
21
—
22
—
23
+4.3
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+4.8
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +35.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 75.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +9.44% on 2 trades, WR 100%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BUBBLE — avg -2.66% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 85.7% +2.93% +22.23% 23h
SIDEWAYS 2 100.0% +9.44% +19.50% 1.0d
BUBBLE 3 33.3% -2.66% -7.89% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.59% BULL 9h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.48% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.59% BULL 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.99% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +14.56% SIDEWAYS 24h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.33% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 -6.55% BUBBLE 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.02% BULL 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.19% BULL 2.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.83% BULL 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
75.0% Win Rate +35.3% Return -6.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees