Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+127.7%
€10,000 →
€22,770
Win Rate
92.3%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
14.45
Alpha vs B&H
+112.15pp
Risk / Reward
35.49×
B&H Return
+15.55%
Max Drawdown
-3.60%
Avg Drawdown
-2.51%
Sharpe Trend
-6.06
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+127.70%
Win Rate
92.3%
Sharpe
14.45
Alpha vs B&H
+112.15pp
Max DD
-3.60%
Avg DD
-2.51%
Risk / Reward
35.49×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+81.99%
▲ +45.71
Win Rate
84.6%
▲ +7.71
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.45
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +112.15
Max DD
-0.42%
▼ -3.18
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.51
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — August 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+8.5
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+14.9
9
+3.8
10
+5.2
11
—
12
—
13
+6.3
14
—
15
+4.2
16
—
17
+3.9
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+3.4
22
-3.6
23
+0.4
24
+4.1
25
—
26
—
27
+22.4
28
—
29
—
30
+6.7
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +127.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.44% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 100.0% +5.94% +49.18% 1.0d
SIDEWAYS 6 83.3% +6.44% +42.93% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +8.53% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 +14.86% BULL 2.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +3.77% BULL 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.20% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.28% BULL 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +4.19% BULL 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.93% BULL 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.38% BULL 1.1d
$0.00 $0.00 -3.60% SIDEWAYS 12h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.09% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +22.42% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +6.74% SIDEWAYS 1.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
92.3% Win Rate +127.7% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees