Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+140.9%
€10,000 →
€24,087
Win Rate
93.8%
17W / 1L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.13%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
17W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+169.36%
▼ -28.49
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -6.20
Sharpe
19.21
▼ -19.21
Alpha vs B&H
+185.01pp
▼ -185.01
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.13
Avg DD
-4.60%
▲ +4.60
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+140.87%
Win Rate
93.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.13%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
V2.5.8.3
Return
+71.22%
▲ +69.65
Win Rate
81.0%
▲ +12.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.20%
▼ -4.93
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+27.6
5
+0.4
6
—
7
+7.9
8
—
9
+8.9
10
+0.6
11
+15.1
12
—
13
+8.2
14
+8.0
15
+0.6
16
+0.4
17
—
18
+3.7
19
-2.2
20
—
21
+9.1
22
—
23
+2.3
24
—
25
—
26
+8.1
27
+4.9
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +140.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.58% on 16 trades, WR 94%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 93.8% +4.58% +102.25% 17h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +27.56% +27.56% 24h
BEAR 1 100.0% +2.37% +2.37% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $6.05 $7.75 +27.56% BUBBLE 24h
05 Feb 2025 18:00 05 Feb 2025 20:00 $6.98 $7.04 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 15:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $6.66 $7.21 +7.94% SIDEWAYS 23h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 07:00 $6.82 $7.45 +8.95% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 20:00 10 Feb 2025 00:00 $7.13 $7.19 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Feb 2025 14:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $7.21 $8.07 +11.73% SIDEWAYS 17h
11 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 21:00 $7.41 $7.64 +2.99% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 15:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $7.63 $8.27 +8.23% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Feb 2025 14:00 14 Feb 2025 19:00 $7.71 $8.34 +8.04% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
15 Feb 2025 16:00 15 Feb 2025 18:00 $7.88 $7.94 +0.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 02:00 16 Feb 2025 11:00 $8.03 $8.10 +0.36% SIDEWAYS 10h
17 Feb 2025 01:00 18 Feb 2025 13:00 $7.86 $8.17 +3.65% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
19 Feb 2025 07:00 19 Feb 2025 11:00 $8.30 $8.14 -2.17% SIDEWAYS 5h
20 Feb 2025 00:00 21 Feb 2025 07:00 $8.01 $8.76 +9.10% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
21 Feb 2025 20:00 23 Feb 2025 07:00 $8.10 $8.30 +2.31% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Feb 2025 00:00 26 Feb 2025 01:00 $6.87 $7.44 +8.07% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
26 Feb 2025 14:00 27 Feb 2025 07:00 $7.24 $7.43 +2.37% BEAR 18h
27 Feb 2025 20:00 27 Feb 2025 22:00 $6.99 $7.17 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
93.8% Win Rate +140.9% Return -5.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees