Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+44.1%
€10,000 →
€14,412
Win Rate
100.0%
11W / 0L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.69%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+44.25%
▼ -0.13
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
8.96
▼ -8.96
Alpha vs B&H
+23.29pp
▼ -23.29
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -9.69
Avg DD
-7.60%
▲ +7.60
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+44.12%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.69%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+37.17%
▲ +6.95
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +16.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.11%
▼ -9.58
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+5.3
9
—
10
+6.7
11
—
12
+1.1
13
—
14
+1.1
15
—
16
+0.7
17
—
18
—
19
+8.3
20
+0.3
21
+0.5
22
—
23
+12.4
24
—
25
+2.6
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+5.4
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +44.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.91% on 10 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 100.0% +3.91% +45.66% 1.1d
BULL 1 100.0% +5.37% +5.37% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 08 Apr 2025 09:00 $4.73 $5.00 +5.34% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
08 Apr 2025 23:00 10 Apr 2025 01:00 $4.81 $5.15 +6.69% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 04:00 $5.07 $5.15 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
14 Apr 2025 01:00 14 Apr 2025 13:00 $4.94 $5.01 +1.14% SIDEWAYS 13h
15 Apr 2025 20:00 16 Apr 2025 00:00 $4.87 $4.92 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 5h
16 Apr 2025 13:00 19 Apr 2025 15:00 $4.81 $5.22 +8.32% SIDEWAYS 3.1d
20 Apr 2025 12:00 20 Apr 2025 14:00 $5.35 $5.39 +0.28% SIDEWAYS 3h
21 Apr 2025 03:00 21 Apr 2025 08:00 $5.81 $5.86 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 6h
22 Apr 2025 07:00 23 Apr 2025 08:00 $5.55 $6.26 +12.37% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
23 Apr 2025 21:00 25 Apr 2025 13:00 $6.21 $6.39 +2.58% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
28 Apr 2025 01:00 29 Apr 2025 01:00 $6.08 $6.43 +5.37% BULL 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +44.1% Return -9.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees