Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+24.8%
€10,000 →
€12,477
Win Rate
85.7%
8W / 3L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.87%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
8W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+35.27%
▼ -10.50
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +10.70
Sharpe
7.02
▼ -7.02
Alpha vs B&H
+51.08pp
▼ -51.08
Max DD
-6.55%
▼ -1.32
Avg DD
-4.59%
▲ +4.59
Risk / Reward
5.39×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+24.77%
Win Rate
85.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.87%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+30.79%
▼ -6.02
Win Rate
90.9%
▼ -5.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-3.94%
▼ -3.93
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
-1.8
2
-0.6
3
+2.5
4
—
5
—
6
+1.6
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+13.8
11
—
12
+0.3
13
-6.6
14
—
15
—
16
+3.9
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+1.2
21
—
22
—
23
+4.3
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
+4.3
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Solid return: +24.8%, comfortably above passive hold for most months.
  • ↑ High win rate: 85.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +9.08% on 2 trades, WR 100%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: BUBBLE — avg -2.66% on 3 trades, WR 33%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 2 100.0% +9.08% +18.75% 1.5d
BULL 6 83.3% +2.14% +13.46% 1.0d
BUBBLE 3 33.3% -2.66% -7.89% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 09:00 $6.29 $6.21 -1.76% BUBBLE 8h
01 Jun 2025 22:00 02 Jun 2025 06:00 $6.44 $6.43 -0.59% BULL 9h
02 Jun 2025 19:00 03 Jun 2025 02:00 $6.39 $6.56 +2.48% BULL 8h
05 Jun 2025 22:00 06 Jun 2025 16:00 $5.81 $5.92 +1.64% BULL 19h
08 Jun 2025 04:00 10 Jun 2025 00:00 $5.80 $6.61 +13.84% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
11 Jun 2025 22:00 12 Jun 2025 00:00 $6.72 $6.76 +0.33% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jun 2025 21:00 13 Jun 2025 12:00 $6.21 $5.81 -6.55% BUBBLE 16h
15 Jun 2025 02:00 16 Jun 2025 12:00 $5.68 $5.93 +3.85% BULL 1.5d
18 Jun 2025 01:00 20 Jun 2025 09:00 $5.44 $5.52 +1.19% BULL 2.4d
22 Jun 2025 16:00 23 Jun 2025 16:00 $4.77 $4.99 +4.31% SIDEWAYS 1d
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 00:00 $5.38 $5.63 +4.27% BULL 23h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
85.7% Win Rate +24.8% Return -7.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees