Paper Trades / MOVR / MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia)
CURRENT · OMNISCIUS v4.0.1 · PYTHIA

MOVR Moonriver Paper Trade

MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0.1 Pythia model.

v4.0.1 Pythia • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Moonriver (MOVR) is the Kusama-based canary network of Moonbeam, providing an EVM-compatible smart-contract platform within the Polkadot/Kusama ecosystem. Listed since mid-2021 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to track Polkadot/Kusama parachain narratives and EVM-compatibility catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ MOVR Signals →

MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) Performancev4.2 Theros

Moonriver (MOVR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+169.4%
€10,000 →
€26,936
Win Rate
100.0%
18W / 0L
Trades
18
Sharpe
19.21
Alpha vs B&H
+185.01pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-15.65%
Max Drawdown
0.00%
Avg Drawdown
-4.60%
Sharpe Trend
-4.63
Model
v4.0.1 Pythia
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA THIS PAGE
Return
+169.36%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
19.21
Alpha vs B&H
+185.01pp
Max DD
0.00%
Avg DD
-4.60%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
18
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+140.87%
▲ +28.49
Win Rate
93.8%
▲ +6.20
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +19.21
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +185.01
Max DD
-5.13%
▲ +5.13
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open v4.0 page →
V2.5.8.3
Return
+71.22%
▲ +98.14
Win Rate
81.0%
▲ +19.00
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +19.21
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +185.01
Max DD
-0.20%
▲ +0.20
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -4.60
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

MOVR

MOVR Monthly Returns (v4.0.1 Pythia)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +99.7%
15t
 		+169.4%
18t
 		+60.3%
16t
 		+44.3%
11t
 		+92.9%
14t
 		+35.3%
12t
 		+86.4%
15t
 		+127.7%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +13,679.3%

All months for MOVR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — MOVR — February 2025 (v4.0.1 Pythia) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+30.0
4
—
5
+0.4
6
—
7
+7.9
8
—
9
+8.9
10
+0.6
11
+15.1
12
—
13
+8.2
14
+8.0
15
+0.6
16
+1.5
17
—
18
+1.5
19
+8.0
20
—
21
+10.5
22
—
23
+2.3
24
—
25
+7.5
26
+2.5
27
+2.5
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +169.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only 0.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.05% on 17 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 17 100.0% +5.05% +128.44% 16h
BULL 1 100.0% +30.01% +30.01% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +30.01% BULL 22h
$0.00 $0.00 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.94% SIDEWAYS 23h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.95% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.58% SIDEWAYS 5h
$0.00 $0.00 +11.73% SIDEWAYS 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.99% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.23% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.04% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.54% SIDEWAYS 7h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 1d
$0.00 $0.00 +8.03% SIDEWAYS 16h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.51% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +2.31% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.45% SIDEWAYS 20h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.49% SIDEWAYS 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live MOVR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Moonriver Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time MOVR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → MOVR Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +169.4% Return 0.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees